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Oregon State vs. UCLA Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – October 14, 2023

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The No. 15 Oregon State Beavers (5-1) bring college football’s 16th-ranked run defense into a clash with the No. 18 UCLA Bruins (4-1), with the No. 21 rushing

The No. 15 Oregon State Beavers (5-1) are 3.5-point favorites at home against the No. 18 UCLA Bruins (4-1) on Saturday, October 14, 2023. Each squad features a high-powered rushing attack, with the Beavers 15th in rushing yards per contest, and the Bruins 21st. The over/under is 54 in the outing.

Oregon State vs. UCLA Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Beavers (-3.5)Moneyline: Beavers (-192), Bruins (+160)Total: 54 points

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How to Watch Oregon State vs. UCLA

When: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 8:00 PM ETLocation: Reser Stadium in Corvallis, OregonTV: Fox

Beavers 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat
Average (Total)
Rank
Pass yards
243.7 (1462)
64
Rush yards
205.8 (1235)
15
Points scored
38.5 (231)
13
Pass yards against
228 (1368)
70
Rush yards against
96.2 (577)
16
Points allowed
19.7 (118)
33

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Oregon State 2023 Betting Info

The Beavers are 4-2-0 ATS this season.In games this season as favorites of at least 3.5 points, Oregon State has a 4-1 record against the spread.The Beavers and their opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of six times this season.The Beavers’ average point total in matchups this season is 52.3, 1.7 points less than the total in this game.The Beavers are 2-1 against the spread over their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.The final combined score of the past three UCLA games went over the set total once.The past three Bruins games averaged 3.2 more points (57.2) than this matchup’s over/under.

Beavers Home/Away Splits (2023)

Overall
Home
Away
Point Total AVG
52.3
49.5
55.2
Implied Total AVG
32.7
33.7
31.7
ATS Record
4-2-0
2-1-0
2-1-0
Over/Under Record
4-2-0
1-2-0
3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record
4-1
2-0
2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record
0-0
0-0
0-0

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Oregon State’s Offense vs. UCLA’s Defense (2023)

The Beavers’ 243.7 passing yards per game ranks 64th in the FBS. The Bruins’ defense gives up 189.6 through the air (24th in college football).Oregon State is 52nd in the FBS in third-down percentage (42.3%), and will be facing the 24th-ranked UCLA third-down defense (32.9%).The Beavers are 27th in college football, racking up 449.5 yards per game, while the Bruins rank fifth in yards allowed (254.2).Oregon State’s offense averages 8.5 yards per pass attempt (32nd in the FBS). UCLA’s defense allows 5.6 yards per passing play (11th in college football).

Bruins 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat
Average (Total)
Rank
Pass yards
258.8 (1294)
46
Rush yards
200.8 (1004)
21
Points scored
30.6 (153)
85
Pass yards against
189.6 (948)
24
Rush yards against
64.6 (323)
3
Points allowed
12.2 (61)
8

UCLA 2023 Betting Info

The Bruins have covered the spread three times in five games.Oregon State has a 4-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.One Bruins game (out of five) has hit the over this year.The average total the Beavers have had set in matchups this year is 1.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.The Beavers have covered the spread twice in their past three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.UCLA and its opponents have hit the over one time in those games.The Bruins’ last three outings have ended with an average of 57.2 points scored. That’s 3.2 more points than this contest’s over/under.

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Bruins Home/Away Splits (2023)

Overall
Home
Away
Point Total AVG
64.3
64.4
64
Implied Total AVG
39.8
40.2
38.8
ATS Record
6-7-0
4-5-0
2-2-0
Over/Under Record
10-3-0
6-3-0
4-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record
6-2
3-2
3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record
2-2
2-1
0-1

UCLA’s Offense vs. Oregon State’s Defense (2023)

UCLA has a 37% third-down conversion rate, 94th in the FBS. Oregon State allows third-down conversions on 33.8% of its opponents’ attempts (35th).Oregon State has the 33rd-ranked scoring defense (19.7 points per game). UCLA’s 62nd-ranked scoring offense puts up 30.6 points per game.

Oregon State vs. UCLA Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Oregon State vs. UCLA sees the Beavers (-192 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we recommend betting on the under at 54 points.

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For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

 

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